His 195 career wins have him tied for 132nd all-time, and his career strikeouts currently have him sitting 71st all-time. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. We didn't recognize that password reset code. Scott Rolen signs his name into history, calls Cardinals a 'catapult He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. But I want to consider Adam Wainwrights Hall of Fame case as a purely statistical candidate based on the statistics we currently have. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. Its just hard to pitch that long nowadays, without injuries especially. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick | 03/02/2023 | MLB.com SwartzSports | The Philadelphia Eagles Blog, SwartzSports | The Philadelphia Eagles Blog, Power Ranking NFLs Top 100 Active Players Prior to 2017, SwartzSports 50 Predictions for the 2022 NFL Season, 2022 SwartzSports First Round Mock Draft (with trades), Ranking the 50 Best Players Not in the Baseball Hall of Fame, Assigning Grades to Key Members of the 2021 Philadelphia Eagles: Part I (Offense), Handing Out Major Awards for 2021 NFL Season, Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part V: #50-1), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part III: #150-101), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part II: #200-151), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part I: #235-201), Power Ranking All 235 Major League Players in the Baseball Hall of Fame (Part IV: #100-51), Evaluating Hall of Fame Odds for 10 Active Major League Pitchers. His sinker averaged 84.9 mph, a 3.7 percent decrease from 2022. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. Wainwright could become the sixth to add the Hall of Fame to their resume. The ageless Bartolo Colon leads all active pitchers with 235, CC Sabathia is next at 230, and then its down to John Lackey at 180. Will Adam Wainwright make the Hall of Fame? A look at the career of the When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. After slaying the October beast that had haunted him for so many years, Kershaw pitched reasonably well through the first three months of the season, posting a 3.39 ERA and 2.98 FIP the latter his lowest mark since 2016 in 106.1 innings. He went from having a 3.8 WAR in 2021 to 2.8 WAR last year. Dont hold your breath. While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. Adam Wainwright biography, birth date, birth place and pictures I think Hall of Fame credentials might change a bit, Wainwright said. Perhaps a new metric will be devised that paints Wainwright in an extraordinary new lightI cant really imagine what said metric would be, but Yadier Molinas career FanGraphs WAR shot up 18.4 wins in one day on which meaningful baseball games werent even played, so I am not going to dismiss the possibility hastily. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. . Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. Please contact us. Adam Wainwright - Taddlr Adam Wainwright's age is 41. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. The best pitcher in MLB? By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. In the five innings Wainwright yielded eight hits and four earned runs for a 7.20 ERA. Terms of Service. Well have to wait and see. Drew move to Atlanta. Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. Sorry we could not verify that email address. Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. When he calls it a career, Wainwright won't be a serious contender for baseball's Hall of Fame, unlike Molina. I found But Adam Wainwrights story also isnt complete. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. As for R-JAWS, hes entered the top 20, but as he approaches both his 34th birthday and free agency, the question of how many more years hell be trusted to handle the ninth inning looms. Covering the latest and most controversial news around the world of sports, heavily centered on the Philadelphia Eagles and National Football League. He produced the worst set of metrics in a full season in his career. Enter your email address to get a new one. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburgh's Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. Hes undergone Tommy John surgery, and his career total of 76 wins is underwhelming. 100-70, 2.99 ERA, 1,409 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. Its an unfortunate injury that was sustained to of all places his throwing shoulder. But, while neither was young, per se, by baseball standards (it was deGroms age-30 season and Scherzers age-33), there is a big leap to get to Adam Wainwrights age-40 season which looms ahead. He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. Cardinals' Wainwright reaches 2,000 career K's. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. Your email address will not be published. Is Adam Wainwright Hall of Fame or Hall of Very good? Adam Wainwright is not a Hall of Famer yet. He became a member of the Cardinals when the Atlanta Braves traded him for J.D. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. Adam Wainwright Contract, Stats, Hall of Fame, Age, Jersey Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. Wins may not matter as much these days, but his 195 wins would make him just the seventh player to be inducted as a starting pitcher with fewer than 200 victories. Greinke was dominant for the 2009 Kansas City Royals, winning the league ERA crown (2.16) and leading the AL in WHIP (1.073), and even better for the 2015 Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a ridiculous 1.66 ERA and at one point throwing 43.2 consecutive scoreless innings over six starts. SUMMARY 2022 Career WAR 1.8 46.7 W 11 195 L 12 117 ERA 3.71 3.38 G 32 457 GS Look at that. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? So basically what Im saying is that if Adam Wainwright has a once-every-seventy-five-years season, he should probably make it into Cooperstown. The key number regarding Gooden is 48.0, which is the average of his career bWAR, his bWAR7, his career fWAR, and his fWAR7. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. Ad Choices Of the four active starters who are within hailing distance of the JAWS standard (61.1), none has done more to help himself in 2021 than Scherzer, who has been stellar in his age-36 season, pitching to a 2.40 ERA and 3.12 FIP in 146 innings for the Nationals and Dodgers. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. Please logout and login again. Bumgarner has thrown 36 career innings in the World Series and allowed one earned run. Astros @ Cardinals. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. Seconds later, told his numbers stack up well to wild card-era pitchers who are either already enshrined or have solid Hall of Fame cases, the famously good-natured Wainwright a night removed from saying he struck out Jeff McNeil looking to leave the bases loaded because I like nostalgia and he wanted to give Mets fans what they want grinned again. The minute Adam Wainwright is eligible, he will easily cruise into the St. Louis Cardinals Hall of Fame, with the only possible road block being if he gets caught in the midst of a logjam with Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina (though if the Cardinals were ever going to make an exception and admit three people in one year, this would seemingly be the case). {* backButton *} Your email address will not be published. The Cardinals are calm. Sabermetrics lover. Even so, five catchers including the younger and still-productive Buster Posey outrank him in the framing-inclusive version of my metric, and with an 80 wRC+ and 0.7 fWAR this year, plus plans to retire after 2022, he might not even catch Russell Martin (49.1) or Joe Mauer (49.3) in the rankings. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Todays pitcher will make it more for efficiency. 76-43, 3.18 ERA, 1,183 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Wainwright is a Hall of Fame person, and a very good pitcher. Likewise, his 42.4 bWAR is lower than the likes of Javier Vazquez, Al Leiter, and Frank Viola. Josh Donaldson, third base (43.8 career | 41.2 Peak | 42.5 JAWS, +1.5 JAWS). Nelson Cruz, right field (42.2 career | 30.1 Peak | 36.1 JAWS, +1.3 JAWS). Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. Hes got three seasons of 3.0 WAR or less as part of his peak score and has a good shot at continuing his big strides in the next few years. Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Evaluating Hall of Fame Odds for 10 Active Major League Pitchers - Donuts 163-103, 3.40 ERA, 2,125 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. The oldest and wisest twin. By Hybrid JAWS, Adam Wainwright is, currently, the 118th greatest starting pitcher in Major League Baseball history. Hey, at least the Cardinals added a proven, quality big-league starting pitcher this past offseason. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. The veteran right-hander is the last remaining . We always prefer to go the surgery route as the last possible resort. But Wainwright still had good value because he supplied 192 innings. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. An Alternate Hall of Fame populated by a mathematical formula. Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Ive lost track. ago. Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Injury? The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Yadier Molina's Hall of Fame case is perplexing, but here's why the MLB starting pitcher who won a World Series Championship with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2006 and was a member of the Cardinals . 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. Still, just one top-10 Cy Young award finish wont get him in the Hall of Fame. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Pirates, Cardinals 2022 Opening Day FAQ - MLB.com But its just not going to happen anymore the way pitchers are used now and the way free agency is and (how) careers go. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. On 30-8-1981 Adam Wainwright (nickname: Adam) was born in Brunswick, Georgia, United States. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. I am a big fan, not as a universal absolute but as a general guideline, of the Jay Jaffe JAWS system, a thing I have mentioned repeatedly in my writing, though I also prefer to use a hybrid model which incorporates a players career performance and his seven best individual seasons (his peak) as measured not only by Baseball Reference but by FanGraphs (in most non-catcher cases, over the course of a career, this doesnt make a huge difference, but in the most discussed cases, the margins are so thin that I am happy to look at as much data as possible). What a different story we could be telling about 'Waino' had he stayed in Atlanta. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. Its early, its the process, hell be ready to go when its time to go. Wainwright, however, has a much more finite timetablehe has announced that he is retiring. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. Only Clemens, Johnson, Carlton and Greg Maddux are the only pitchers who have won more. I took a look at 10 active starting pitchers with borderline Hall of Fame resumes and broke down their odds of enshrinement. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. Poll : Should Adam Wainwright be in the Hall of Fame? Follow him on Twitter @jay_jaffe and Mastodon @jay_jaffe. Once Molina has been. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. What a career Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina have shared together! That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. Who Are the Next Pitchers to Make the Baseball Hall of Fame? While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. His 2011 season, in which he went 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA and led the league in a slew of categories wins, ERA, games started, innings pitched, strikeouts, WHIP, adjusted ERA, and hits allowed per nine innings earned him a distinction that hadnt been accomplished since Roger Clemens in 1986. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. We use cookies to improve your experience. Strasburgs 2.86 FIP suggests hes outperformed his 3.18 ERA, and his strikeout rate has been stellar. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. With a big age-28 season (5.2 WAR and counting) driven by his 31 homers, 138 OPS+, and 9 DRS, Ramirez is making notable progress toward Cooperstown, particularly given that hes already banked two seven-win seasons. Rile people up.. Since then, hes made the All-Star team every year, led the league in wins on three occasions, and won a Cy Young award in each league. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). For relievers, Im using the WAR-and-WPA hybrid stat via which Ive examined recent candidates such as Mariano Rivera, Trevor Hoffman, and Billy Wagner. He leads MLB in complete games this season at the age of 40, and is MLB's active leader in complete games with 27. It's a career that includes 10 All-Star Games, nine Gold Gloves, four Platinum Gloves, two World Series titles and plenty of adulation from the St. Louis area and beyond. Press release: Cardinals announce 2022 promotions schedule - MLB.com Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. 1st stage: All good. The secret to Adam Wainwright's success? A curveball like none other Adam Wainwright on Baseball Reference.. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) Adam Wainwright was one of many players lucky enough to have shared a clubhouse with Scott Rolen, the newest member of the Baseball Hall of Fame.. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. But theres a rhythm to the ritual. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. But the guys that have got in recently just have been the best at the craft for a decade, Wainwright said. He has led the league in strikeouts three times, including a 300-strikeout season in 2018. 34. Cy Young awards, no-hitters, and ERA titles may be better methods for evaluating the 21st century pitcher than the sheer outdated statistic of wins.. Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. . He'll retire with honors and accolades, becoming a fine coach and St. Louis area legend.